Predictability in Science: Accuracy and Limitations

Plenary Session 3-6 November 2006
W. Arber, N. Cabibbo, M. Sánchez Sorondo (eds)
Acta 19 | Vatican City, 2008
pp. XLII-277 | ISBN 978-88-7761-094-2


Session I – Chaos and Predictions in Physics and Astronomy

Predictions in Astrophysics and Cosmology

Rudolf Muradyan

Complexity and Predictions at the Fundamental Level of Scientific Knowledge

Antonino Zichichi

Session II – Geosciences and Environmental Evolution

Change of Scaling Before Extreme Events in Complex Systems

Vladimir Keilis-Borok, Alexandre Soloviev, Andrei Gabrielov, Ilia Zaliapin

Global Warming Science: Predictions, Surprises and Uncertainties

Veerabhadran Ramanathan

Predictability of Science and Climate Change

Mario J. Molina

An Example of Geo-Engineering: Cooling Down Earth’s Climate by Sulfur Emissions in the Stratosphere

Paul J. Crutzen

Session III – Predictions in the Life Sciences

Predicting the Minimal Sustainable Genome

Rafael Vicuña

The New Possibilities of Prediction and Prevention of Cancer

Umberto Veronesi

Stochastic Genetic Variations and their Role in Biological Evolution

Werner Arber

Session IV – Philosophical and Societal Aspects

Epistemological Study of the Vocabulary of Prediction in Science and Theology

Jean-Michel Maldamé

Predictability, Measurements and Cosmic Time

Michael Heller

Predictability, Determinism, and Emergence

Jürgen Mittelstraß

Predictability: Prophecy, Prognosis and Prediction. A Study in Neuroeducation

Antonio M. Battro

Session V – Research Procedures: Theories and their Verification, Serendipity

On the Unpredictability of Individual Research

Michael Sela

Science as Prediction and the Unpredictability of Science

Stanley L. Jaki

Session VI – Public Perception and Policy in the Context of Uncertainty

Some Issues Relating to Predictability and Certainty in Science

M. Govind Kumar Menon

Chaos in Self-Exciting Dynamos and the Main Geomagnetic Field

Raymond Hide