Predictability in Science: Accuracy and Limitations

acta19pasgrande

Plenary Session 3-6 November 2006
W. Arber, N. Cabibbo, M. Sánchez Sorondo (eds)
Acta 19
Vatican City, 2008
pp. XLII-277
ISBN 978-88-7761-094-2

Preview

SESSION I – CHAOS AND PREDICTIONS IN PHYSICS AND ASTRONOMY


Predictions in Astrophysics and Cosmology (PDF)
Rudolf Muradian


Complexity and Predictions at the Fundamental Level of Scientific Knowledge (PDF)
Antonino Zichichi


SESSION II – GEOSCIENCES AND ENVIRONMENTAL EVOLUTION


Change of Scaling Before Extreme Events in Complex Systems (PDF)
Vladimir Keilis-Borok, Alexandre Soloviev, Andrei Gabrielov, Ilia Zaliapin


Global Warming Science: Predictions, Surprises and Uncertainties (PDF)
Veerabhadran Ramanathan


Predictability of Science and Climate Change (PDF)
Mario J. Molina


An Example of Geo-Engineering: Cooling Down Earth’s Climate by Sulfur Emissions in the Stratosphere (PDF)
Paul J. Crutzen


SESSION III – PREDICTIONS IN THE LIFE SCIENCES


Predicting the Minimal Sustainable Genome (PDF)
Rafael Vicuña


The New Possibilities of Prediction and Prevention of Cancer (PDF)
Umberto Veronesi


Stochastic Genetic Variations and their Role in Biological Evolution (PDF)
Werner Arber


SESSION IV – PHILOSOPHICAL AND SOCIETAL ASPECTS


Epistemological Study of the Vocabulary of Prediction in Science and Theology (PDF)
Jean-Michel Maldamé


Predictability, Measurements and Cosmic Time (PDF)
Michael Heller


Predictability, Determinism, and Emergence (PDF)
Jürgen Mittelstrass


Predictability: Prophecy, Prognosis and Prediction. A Study in Neuroeducation (PDF)
Antonio M. Battro


SESSION V – RESEARCH PROCEDURES: THEORIES AND THEIR VERIFICATION, SERENDIPITY


On the Unpredictability of Individual Research (PDF)
Michael Sela


Science as Prediction and the Unpredictability of Science (PDF)
Stanley L. Jaki


SESSION VI – PUBLIC PERCEPTION AND POLICY IN THE CONTEXT OF UNCERTAINTY


Some Issues Relating to Predictability and Certainty in Science (PDF)
M. Govind Kumar Menon


Chaos in Self-Exciting Dynamos and the Main Geomagnetic Field (PDF)
Raymond Hide

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